SPC Mar 18, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0207 AM CDT Tue Mar 18 2025

Valid 201200Z - 211200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorm development will be possible on Thursday from parts of
the Mid-Atlantic southward into eastern North Carolina. A severe
threat is not expected.

...DISCUSSION...
A pre-frontal trough will move from the Appalachians to the Atlantic
Coastal plains on Thursday, as an associated mid-level trough moves
through the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Low-topped convection is
forecast to develop near the pre-frontal trough in the afternoon.
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible along an axis of strong
low-level flow from the Mid-Atlantic southward into eastern North
Carolina, mainly during the mid to late afternoon. However, MUCAPE
is forecast to remain below 200 J/kg along the instability axis,
which should limit the severe potential.

..Broyles.. 03/18/2025

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