SPC Mar 11, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0748 PM CDT Mon Mar 10 2025

Valid 110100Z - 111200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms have shifted offshore over south Florida, and will
gradually do so over eastern North Carolina as well.  Inland severe
weather is not expected.

...Discussion...
An upper low now centered over the lower Savannah River Valley will
continue moving eastward this evening, eventually moving
offshore/over the Gulf Stream.  As this occurs, a surface low just
offshore of the Carolina Coast will likewise shift northeastward.

A cold front trailing southwestward from the surface low has cleared
the Florida Peninsula.  Associated deep/moist convection has
likewise moved offshore, ending the earlier risk over southern
Florida.  Meanwhile, elevated convection persists over parts of
eastern North Carolina, along with sporadic inland lightning, though
the majority of the lightning activity is now occurring offshore. 
This trend will continue, but for this evening, will maintain a
small 10% thunder area over the North Carolina Coastal Plain.

..Goss.. 03/11/2025

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