SPC Mar 12, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0743 PM CDT Tue Mar 11 2025

Valid 120100Z - 121200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms are expected across far southern California
and into Arizona tonight. Severe storms are not expected.

...Discussion...
Recent radar and satellite show that a few isolated thunderstorms
are ongoing near the mid-level low moving inland across
California/southern Arizona. 

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will likely continue
into the evening, spreading further east into central/southern
Arizona as forcing increases inland. Cooling aloft will allow for
modest buoyancy around MLCAPE 250 J/kg across portions of southern
California and southern/central Arizona. Overall, shear profiles
remain weak and severe storms are not expected.

..Thornton/Guyer.. 03/12/2025

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