SPC Mar 8, 2025 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1200 AM CST Sat Mar 08 2025

Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO SOUTHERN GEORGIA...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Sunday from
parts of the Florida Panhandle into southern Georgia and North
Florida.

...FL Panhandle/Northern FL into Southern GA...

A surface warm front is forecast to be draped across southern AL
toward the FL/GA state line on Sunday. Meanwhile, a weak surface low
will be positioned over far southern MS/AL with a trailing cold
front extending into the western Gulf. A southwesterly low-level jet
around 30-40 kt at 850 mb will maintain a warm advection regime
ahead of the low and cold front, and areas of thunderstorms will
likely be ongoing in the vicinity of the warm front Sunday morning.
Destabilization will likely be tempered by early convection, and
storms may mostly be elevated. However, some risk of marginal hail
or strong gusts will accompany stronger storms during the morning. 

By afternoon, additional thunderstorms may develop across north FL
ahead of the cold front. This activity may have a better chance to
become surface-based. Thunderstorm clusters or an isolated supercell
may produce strong to locally severe gusts. Furthermore, if
convection can become surface-based and take advantage of somewhat
enhanced low-level shear in the vicinity of the warm front, a risk
for a tornado or two is possible.

..Leitman.. 03/08/2025

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