SPC Mar 8, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1127 AM CST Sat Mar 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN GEORGIA/NORTHERN FLORIDA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Sunday from parts of the Florida Panhandle into southern Georgia and North Florida. ...Synopsis... An upper low progged to lie near the Arklatex region early in the period will steadily eastward, crossing lower Mississippi Valley area during the evening, and then advancing across the central Gulf Coast States with time. As the upper system advances, a weak surface frontal wave over the southeastern Louisiana vicinity will move eastward with time along the remnant, west-to-east baroclinic zone extending eastward across the southern Georgia/northern Florida vicinity. By the end of the period, the low is forecast to redevelop off the southeastern U.S. coast. ...Florida Panhandle eastward across southern Georgia and northern Florida... Thunderstorms are expected to be ongoing in the vicinity of a west-to-east baroclinic zone lying across the area, with a couple of stronger/organized storms potentially embedded within the broader area of precipitation. As the ongoing storms move eastward/offshore through the day, a new round of convective development is forecast to begin by early afternoon, ahead of the advancing upper system. However, weak instability is forecast to persist through the period, which will limit overall severe risk. With that said, amply strong/veering flow with height will reside across the region, increasing overnight in tandem with the progression of the upper trough. As such, local/limited risk for marginal hail, gusty/damaging winds, or even a brief tornado will be possible, with a couple of the stronger/longer-lived updrafts. ..Goss.. 03/08/2025
About The Author
