SPC Mar 9, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1140 PM CST Sat Mar 08 2025

Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHEAST...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible today from
parts of the northern Florida into far southeast Alabama and
southern Georgia.

...Far Southeast Alabama/Southern Georgia/Northern Florida...
At mid-levels, a low will move eastward across the Ark-La-Tex today,
as a shortwave ridge ahead of the system moves through the
Southeast. At the surface, a low will move eastward across the
northern Gulf. To the east of the low, a slow moving cold front will
move from southern Georgia into northern Florida. Scattered to
numerous thunderstorms are expected to develop in the vicinity of
the front today. Surface-based development should be confined to
areas near and to the south of the front, where weak instability and
strong deep-layer shear is forecast. The environment should support
semi-organized line segments capable of producing isolated severe
gusts. A brief tornado will also be possible. To the north of the
front, the storms will be elevated and could produce isolated severe
hail. The severe threat may persist across parts of northern Florida
into the evening.

..Broyles/Halbert.. 03/09/2025

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